Argus-style prediction market edge detection and betting strategy. Computes expected value from TA-implied probability vs market odds, sizes bets via Kelly criterion, and applies freshness/consensus guards. Validated at 77.8% win rate on primary (fresh) Polymarket bets. Use for prediction market betting, EV calculation, Polymarket strategy, or market making.

Argus风格的预测市场边缘检测与投注策略。根据技术分析推导的概率与市场赔率计算期望值，通过凯利准则确定投注规模，并应用时效性与共识保护机制。在主要（新鲜）Polymarket投注上验证胜率为77.8%。适用于预测市场投注、期望值计算、Polymarket策略或做市。